Carencro, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

623
FXUS64 KLCH 062321
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
621 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-An upper low aloft will support increased rain chances through
 Tuesday and Wednesday before diminishing.

-This feature will be replaced by strong ridging out west and
 weak ridging to our east.

-Gradually decreasing PoPs and increasing heat & humidity are
 expected later in the period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Convection has already initiated late this morning along the sea
breeze, particularly near the immediate coastline. Diurnal heating
combined with this boundary will promote continued development of
showers and isolated thunderstorms through the afternoon,
especially across areas along and south of I-10 and the eastern
third of the forecast area thanks to an approaching upper low.

The aforementioned upper low is currently retrograding over the
northern Gulf, and is forecast to meander near or over the CWA
through much of the short term. This will support scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms each day. The greatest coverage
today is expected across Acadiana and the Atchafalaya Basin, where
the proximity to the upper low maximizes lift and moisture
convergence. As such, WPC has highlighted this area under a
Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) for excessive rainfall capable of
producing localized flash flooding.

High temperatures will generally remain in the lower to mid 90s,
tempered somewhat by cloud cover and precip. Overnight lows will
range from the low to mid 70s, with slightly higher values near
the coast. Apparent temperatures are expected to remain below Heat
Advisory criteria, though precautions should still be taken for
those exposed to prolonged periods outdoors and heat sensitive
populations.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

By midweek, the upper low is expected to weaken as ridging begins
to build from both the Desert SW and the Atlantic / East Coast.
The ridge to the west will be more pronounced, with our region
sitting in between these two features. As heights increase, expect
a warming and drying trend, particularly across western portions
of the forecast area.

Diurnally driven convection will persist through the week, but
coverage will likely become more limited, favoring eastern areas
where ridging influence is weaker. With reduced rain chances and
cloud cover, temperatures will gradually climb, leading to higher
afternoon heat indices. These may approach or exceed advisory
thresholds late in the period. Even if official criteria are not
met, heat related impacts remain a concern, and all are encouraged
to continue practicing heat safety.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Areas of showers and storms will continue through the next couple
of hours, but should pose little threat to the terminals. Tonight,
light to calm winds and scattered high clouds are once again
expected. In addition, another round of patchy fog is possible at
AEX near sunrise. Tomorrow, pretty much a rinse and repeat of
today with winds remaining rather light and out of the S/SW along
with mainly high clouds filling in throughout the day. Scattered
convection will likely begin to develop by midday and continue
into the early evening.

17

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

The chance for scattered afternoon convection begins to increase
slightly as an upper low moves overhead. Rain chances then
decrease some through the midweek as the upper low weakens and
dissipates, with typical summertime convection expected each day.
Winds and seas will remain weak / low through the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Rain chances will increase today through Tuesday as an upper low
moves overhead and stalls. Daily minimum RH values in the 45 to 65
percent range can be expected through the work week. With little
forcing, winds will also remain fairly light and out of the south.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  72  94  72  93 /  20  50  10  70
LCH  76  91  76  90 /  10  60  20  80
LFT  75  91  74  90 /  30  80  10  80
BPT  75  91  75  90 /  10  50  20  70

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...17